An article on the National Interest led some anonymous sources from China saying the Chinese president was "impatient" and could mobilize to capture Taiwan for some years to come.
Ian Easton even predicted that there could be a sea landing from mainland China into Taiwan, possibly before July 2021, to celebrate the 100th anniversary of party establishment in China. Mr. Easton is a researcher and author of the upcoming book entitled "The Risk of Attack from China: Taiwan's Defense and the US Strategy in Asia".
However, Mr. Easton said immediately that this is only a assumption. According to him, it is likely that China will not attack Taiwan in ways that are potentially risky. Chinese leaders will likely escalate a battle of brainstorming in the Taiwan Strait. They will continue to use technology to spread information blindness and some other tactics to make America lose confidence that Taiwan can successfully defend, while promoting subversive activities to erode the Taiwan's confidence and will.
According to Mr. Easton, the power of the Chinese Liberation Army (PLA) is clearer than their weaknesses. Ballistic missiles, cyber-warfare, space weapons help the PLA become a formidable force. But perhaps more dangerous is China's foreign reconnaissance, underground activities, which help shape foreign policy.
However, Professor Andrew Erickson of the US Naval Academy wrote in the book "China Shipbuilding" that although the Chinese navy is growing at a high speed, they are not ready for a strike. occupy Taiwan. Because they still have not enough transport and room capacity. However, tomorrow's situation will be very different from today.
Dennis Blasko, author of the book "The Chinese Army Today" argues that China's army is not ready for such a war.
In order to carry out a full-scale attack, China will need much more than the number of existing helicopters. Likewise, paratroopers, task forces, monks guessing motorized landings and marines. Moreover, the PLA needs to build a contingent of reserve officers, training the unit commander even better. Most of these things have been started by China and they will probably collect results within the next decade.
Taiwan is now almost transforming its military from forced military to military regimes, consisting of soldiers who voluntarily follow their careers, like the United States. It may be considered an advantage over China, still based on military service.
According to experts, Taiwan may have about 4 weeks of preparation before facing a war. Because preparing for a major attack would mean mobilizing forces, especially sea-transport, to help Taiwan foresee what is about to happen. It was also the transfer of troops, mobilization of reserve troops, military maneuvers, news shooting for media, diplomatic message transmission ...
Meanwhile, Taiwan is able to mobilize 2.5 million men and nearly 1 million workers to serve defense in just a few days. This is done by the Taiwanese government for annual exercises.
Of course, there are too many factors involved in the outcome of the war, such as the US response, the Taiwanese preparations from now until a real war broke out ... The prediction is ultimately only is predictable.
Ian Easton even predicted that there could be a sea landing from mainland China into Taiwan, possibly before July 2021, to celebrate the 100th anniversary of party establishment in China. Mr. Easton is a researcher and author of the upcoming book entitled "The Risk of Attack from China: Taiwan's Defense and the US Strategy in Asia".
However, Mr. Easton said immediately that this is only a assumption. According to him, it is likely that China will not attack Taiwan in ways that are potentially risky. Chinese leaders will likely escalate a battle of brainstorming in the Taiwan Strait. They will continue to use technology to spread information blindness and some other tactics to make America lose confidence that Taiwan can successfully defend, while promoting subversive activities to erode the Taiwan's confidence and will.
According to Mr. Easton, the power of the Chinese Liberation Army (PLA) is clearer than their weaknesses. Ballistic missiles, cyber-warfare, space weapons help the PLA become a formidable force. But perhaps more dangerous is China's foreign reconnaissance, underground activities, which help shape foreign policy.
However, Professor Andrew Erickson of the US Naval Academy wrote in the book "China Shipbuilding" that although the Chinese navy is growing at a high speed, they are not ready for a strike. occupy Taiwan. Because they still have not enough transport and room capacity. However, tomorrow's situation will be very different from today.
Dennis Blasko, author of the book "The Chinese Army Today" argues that China's army is not ready for such a war.
In order to carry out a full-scale attack, China will need much more than the number of existing helicopters. Likewise, paratroopers, task forces, monks guessing motorized landings and marines. Moreover, the PLA needs to build a contingent of reserve officers, training the unit commander even better. Most of these things have been started by China and they will probably collect results within the next decade.
Taiwan is now almost transforming its military from forced military to military regimes, consisting of soldiers who voluntarily follow their careers, like the United States. It may be considered an advantage over China, still based on military service.
According to experts, Taiwan may have about 4 weeks of preparation before facing a war. Because preparing for a major attack would mean mobilizing forces, especially sea-transport, to help Taiwan foresee what is about to happen. It was also the transfer of troops, mobilization of reserve troops, military maneuvers, news shooting for media, diplomatic message transmission ...
Meanwhile, Taiwan is able to mobilize 2.5 million men and nearly 1 million workers to serve defense in just a few days. This is done by the Taiwanese government for annual exercises.
Of course, there are too many factors involved in the outcome of the war, such as the US response, the Taiwanese preparations from now until a real war broke out ... The prediction is ultimately only is predictable.
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